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п»їWhat Is A Parlay Bet?
Strategy And Parlay Calculator.
A parlay is a single sports wager that involves two or more bets combined into one. This can include point spreads , moneylines , totals , futures , or even prop bets , as long as the bets are on different games.
The allure of these bets has always been a larger payout than choosing a single team to win. But there’s more gamble to these types of wagers because every “leg” of the parlay needs to not lose in order to win. If one leg loses, the whole parlay loses.
The flexibility of a parlay bet also makes it attractive to gamblers. You can combine multiple sports into your parlay bet; for example, you can include the Cowboys from the NFL, the Celtics from the NBA and the Coyotes from the NHL into a single bet. If they all win, you win.
Test out the parlay calculator above and compare odds at different sportsbooks to see how it works!
Placing a parlay bet.
There are two ways to place a parlay bet and both are quite simple. Bettors can either tell the ticket writer directly which teams and totals they’d like to bet on and how much they’d like to risk on the bet. Filling out a parlay card is the other option for placing this kind of bet. Once the card is filled in, the bettor simply needs to visit the sportsbook desk to place the bet.
Some mobile sports wagering apps offer both types of parlay bets.
Get the best parlay deal at online sportsbooks with Parlay Insurance here:
Winning a parlay.
There are two instances when a parlay can be a winning bet. A parlay only wins if none of the sides, totals or moneylines selected is a loser. The parlay can still be a winner if a game is canceled or ends in a tie. The pay schedule will simply more down to the lesser payment. For example, the bettor will win if a baseball parlay for four teams has three winners and one game is canceled because of rain. The bet will only pay based on the schedule for three winners instead of four as originally planned. The bet is a loser if one pick for a parlay is wrong.
Parlay odds.
Not all parlay payouts are the same. Sportsbooks may have different odds for the number of teams bet in a parlay. This can be very confusing when looking at online sports that have different odds and payouts for the same parlay. Further, these odds may change at any time so bettors should check with the ticket writer in sportsbook before placing a parlay.
Parlay payouts.
Payouts for a parlay are fixed by the time the bet is placed. Even if the lines and odds for an individual game move, the parlay lines and odds won’t change from when the parlay bet was placed. The parlay bet won’t be changed whether the lines change for or against the bettor.
If the lines change for a game, or games, in the favor of the bettor another parlay may be bet with the new line. The original bet cannot be changed and the bet will stand. The good news is that the bettor has two live parlay bets.
Types of parlays.
A parlay is a type of sports bet and there are different variations of this kind of wager. The most common types of parlays are Round Robin parlays and Teasers .
Round Robin.
A Round Robin bet is placing multiple parlay wagers at once . It’s just that simple. Round Robin bets are just a way to simplify making multiple parlays. When a bettor “Round Robin’s” teams in sports betting it’s similar to a horse bettor “boxing” horses for an exacta or trifecta bet in a race.
The bettor will select anywhere from 3 to 8 teams or totals to be in the Round Robin. They will then choose how many teams or totals they’d like to tie together for the Round Robin. For example, a bettor may select eight teams and totals for a Round Robin and tie the parlays to as many three-team combinations as possible.
The combination of teams will dictate how many different parlays the bettor has. Continuing the example, if a bettor wants to Round Robin eight teams they will have 28 different parlays if they choose two teams. If the bettor chooses to make three-team parlays they will have 56 different parlay tickets.
The ticket will cost the amount chosen for each parlay. If the bettor only has $300 they might choose to Round Robin the teams by two, so they have 28 different parlays for $10 each. The payout for each winning parlay is the same as it would be if the parlay bets were each made individually.
Teaser.
A teaser is similar to a traditional parlay where the bettor can select multiple teams or totals . However, there are no moneylines allowed with a teaser. Unlike a parlay, the bettor may move each point spread or total plus or minus a certain number of points. The additional points on the spread or total make these bets easier to win and thus they pay less than a traditional parlay.
Teaser bets can change the point spreads or totals anywhere from six to 10 points. However, each leg of the teaser must use the same number of points. Those legs of the teaser may go in different directions.
Much like a traditional parlay, the more teams involved with a teaser the better the payoff. Again, different sportsbooks have different odds and rules so they might have different payouts and teaser options available to bet.
Parlay Cards.
The more popular way to bet parlays in casinos today seems to be with a Parlay Card. These are the long narrow cards where bettors fill in the numbered circle of the side or point spread they want to include in their bet. Once the teams and totals are chosen the bettor simply presents the filled in portion on the card to the ticket writer in the sportsbook along with how much they’d like to wager.
Parlay Cards are especially popular during football season. There are many different types of Parlay Cards including a variety of teasers, ties win and reverse teaser cards known as pleasers. These are more popular every year so the mobile sports wagering apps have started to add Parlay Cards for mobile bettors.
Bet with your head, not over it. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem.

Sports Betting: How to Bet Parlays.
Do You Know How to Bet Parlays?
Nick M Do/Getty Images.
Parlays are by far the most popular of the exotic wagers, as they offer the potential for a big payout on a small wager. Simply stated, a parlay is a collection of two or more sides or totals that you bet on and all of them must win in order for you to win your bet. If you place a four-team parlay, going 3-1 is no different than going 0-4. All of your bets must win, or at least tie, in order for you to win.
There are basic types of parlays, those wagered against the point spread and those wagered using the money line. The payoffs a bettor will receive should they win are quite different in the two. In parlays involving point spreads, the payoff is fixed, while money line parlay payoffs are determined by the odds of each team.
Point Spread Parlays.
The odds on a typical parlay involving point spreads, including totals, are generally something like:
2 teams 13-5 3 teams 6-1 4 teams 10-1 5 teams 25-1 6 teams 40-1 7 teams 75-1 8 teams 150-1 9 teams 300-1 10 teams 600-1.
What this means is that a bettor making a wager on a five-team parlay stands to win $25 for every $1 if all of their games win, while a correct eight-parlay will pay out $150 for every $1 wagered. The ability to win a lot of money for a small bet is the primary reason parlays are popular with a number of sports bettors.
Money Line Parlays.
Money line parlays do not use fixed odds because the odds of winning vary greatly from team to team. While a parlay made against the point spread assumes a 50-50 chance for each team of winning, money line parlays do not. The chances of a good baseball team with its ace pitcher on the mound defeating a mediocre opponent are going to be greater than 50 percent and the payout if the parlay hits will reflect this.
To put it in simple terms, money line parlays take the amount of your bet and place all of the money on one team and if that team wins, recalculates your bet amount on the next team, again placing your entire wager on that team.
Are Parlays Good Bets?
The simple answer is no, especially parlays involving point spreads or totals. The odds of the payoff are much less than the true odds. For example, the true odds of winning a three-team parlay when making point spread wagers are 7-1, while the payoff is only 6-1, and it gets worse as you bet more teams. The true odds of hitting a 10-team point parlay are 1,023-1, while the payoff is generally around 600-1, so a parlay bettor is at a big disadvantage.
Money line parlay payoffs are calculated on the odds of the game, so there is no advantage or disadvantage in playing them.
Bettors should stick with straight bets when betting against the point spread or totals as it's difficult enough to pick one winner, let alone two or more games and the odds you are asked to try and beat are nearly impossible to overcome in the long run.

Parlay Strategy.
A parlay bet is a popular form of sports wagering most gamblers are familiar with. In case you’re not, this bet is rather easy to understand. A parlay is simply a combo bet where, rather than betting several teams individually, you group them into a single wager. Using this option, the payout is greater and the risk is less, but you need all teams selected to win.
What happens if there’s a push in a parlay? That bet will be taken out of the parlay and the payout will be reduced as if there were one fewer team in the parlay. So if you had a 4 team parlay and you got three picks cocrrect and the other was a push, you would be paid out the odds of a 3 team parlay.
Parlay bets can be very tempting as they can offer some big payouts. See a recent parlay Kevin made at 5Dimes.eu and cashed in on!
Are Parlays Sucker Bets?
There is a general misconception in sports betting that all parlays are sucker bets. This is simply because most sports bettors are not familiar with how they work, or how to bet them properly. In this article, I’ll address parlay betting strategies, but first let’s look at parlay odds and how they are calculated.
The parlay odds at most Las Vegas sportsbooks are:
2 teams 2.6 to 1 3 teams 6-1 4 teams 10-1 5 teams 20-1 6 teams 40-1 7 teams 80-1 8 teams 150-1.
Let’s say you decide for the next eight weeks you’re going to bet the Monday night football game, starting with a $1.00 bankroll and betting your entire bankroll each week until you go 8-0 or bust. The potential win is as follows:
Week 1: $1.00 to win $0.91: If win total profit = $0.91 (Bankroll =$1.91) Week 2: $1.91 to win $1.74: If win total profit = $2.65 (Bankroll =$3.65) Week 3: $3.65 to win $3.32: If win total profit = $5.97 (Bankroll =$6.97) Week 4: $6.97 to win $6.34: If win total profit = $12.31 (Bankroll =$13.31) Week 5: $13.31 to win $12.10: If win total profit = $24.41 (Bankroll =$25.41) Week 6: $25.41 to win $23.10: If win total profit = $46.51 (Bankroll =$47.51) Week 7: $47.51 to win $43.19: If win total profit = $89.70 (Bankroll =$90.70) Week 8: $90.70 to win $82.45: If win total profit = $172.15 (Bankroll =$173.15)
The reason parlays are often sucker bets shows up in this middle column. Had you bet these in an 8 team parlay, you’d only get paid 150 to one. Essentially, a parlay is no different than betting all in each time, only parlays generally pay much worse. However, you’ll notice the odds are not poor until you get to four teams, where the sportsbook has a whopping 31.25% advantage. Two teams pay a smidgen worse than the manual parlay (all in each time) option, where three team parlays pay a smidgen better. Rarely ever is a 2 or 3 team parlay a true suckers bet.
What Does a Parlay Pay?
As I mentioned earlier, fixed parlay odds vary greatly between online sportsbooks. Here is some info on which sites offer the best fixed parlay odds:
3 team parlays pay 6/1 or $600 for every $100 bet. BetOnline.ag is the leader in the industry in 3 team parlay payouts.
Generally speaking, parlaying 5 teams or more teams is not a good idea; however, for sports gamblers looking for a lotto ticket, 5dimes.eu and Bookmaker.eu each offer up to 15 team parlays and have by far the best odds in the business on these.
True Odds Parlays.
1 Earlier, I mentioned fixed odds are only given when all selections are 50/50 propositions. If one side of a line requires a greater stake than the other to yield the same payout, this is not a 50/50 proposition, and the bookmaker will now use “true odds”. What’s important to note is that true odds doesn’t actually mean the “true odds” of winning. Rather, true odds pays the same as if you bet each team individually and rolled the profit forward each time, which is what I showed in the example of 8 all in bets starting with a $1.00 stake.
Let’s say you’re in the mood to gamble on an 8 team parlay, but the only out available to you is a bookmaker paying 150-1 fixed odds. A trick of the trade here is to include one bet that is priced differently than -110 in order to force the bookmaker to use true odds. So, let’s say you make 7 selections priced at the standard -110 pricing and one at -115. A true parlay calculates by multiplying each modifier together. The math is 1.91 * 1.91 * 1.91 * 1.91 * 1.91 * 1.91 * 1.91 * 1.87, which equals 173.41. This bet returns 173.41 times the stake, which includes the risk amount, so the bet is 1 to win 172.41. Notice this is significantly better than the fixed odds payout of 1 to win 150 on an 8 team parlay. In short, the trick of the trade when dealing with poor fixed odds is to simply add one team to the parlay that is priced differently than the standard -110.
As you can now see, if you know how to bet parlays properly, they are not always sucker bets. There are, however, a few reasons that parlays are generally not a good move. I’ll cover these, and then cover the times it does make sense.
Top Reasons to Avoid Parlays.
1) Progressive betting systems are generally regarded as poor strategy for both bankroll management and bankroll growth. Professional bettors make wagers based on their quantified edge per game. While the math can work out, doing the math for proper bet sizing on a parlay is a lot of added work with little to no upside for most sports bettors.
2) Parlay bets have higher variance than straight bets. Here you’re getting the same odds, but your chance of hitting a dry spell is greatly increased. When the odds are the same it is most often better to go with the lower variance option, which in this case is straight wagers.
3) Line Shopping – Sports bettors maximize their profit by always shopping for the best price. For example, finding -4 when other sites are -4.5, and finding reduced vig options such as -104 instead of -110. When betting parlays, you’ll need to find the most favorable odds for each team at a single betting site. This scenario is rare, so generally you’ll end up with better odds by making straight wagers at multiple betting sites.
Parlays That Make the Most Sense:
Reduced Juice – BetOnline.ag offers 6.5 to one on three team parlays. This comes out better than betting sides at the -105 price standard reduced juice sports books offer. In sports such as NFL football where 50/50 wagering propositions are common, a sports bettor gets far superior odds by betting 3 team parlays at BetOnline.
Correlated Parlays – If a bookmaker was offering betting lines on both “will it be cloudy today?” and “will it rain today?”, if allowed, you’d be much better off betting either both as no, or both as yes, in a parlay bet as opposed to straight wagers. While this is a simplified example, there are plenty of times when outcomes are correlated in sports betting. For example, a handicapper might determine that if one team covers the spread, the game is more likely to go over or under the posted total. Also, during the final week of the NFL season, a certain team winning or losing the day game might result in a previously important night game now having no meaning in the playoff race.
Free Play Bonuses – Several online betting sites, for example BetNow, offer players free bets based on the size of their initial deposit. Free play bonuses are not the same as cash. The difference is that a bet made with cash returns both stake and win, where a bet made with a free play returns only win. Parlays allow you the chance to use the same free play more than once, because a parlay really is only a wager that continues to place stake+win on the next selection. Remember, fixed odd three team parlays pay a little better than true odds. So when using free plays to bet 3 team parlays, you’re getting slightly better odds, and also a chance to apply that free play stake to three different bets. This is common knowledge that 3 team parlays are a great use of free play bonuses.

Gambling 101: What is a Parlay Bet?
Legal sports betting is now available in several states, and bills are pending in many more. Full-service sportsbooks are popping up across the country and offer everything from futures betting to live in-game wagering options. Parlays are part of the package, and this SI Gambling 101 feature focuses on the pitfalls and benefits associated with accumulator bets.
Parlay betting is high risk and high reward. It's not for everyone and is shunned by some in the betting community due to low winning percentages. For those that don't mind a little extra risk to collect a more substantial reward, there are a variety of parlay options available.
Offered on all major pro and college sports, a two-team combo is the most basic parlay. While the risk rises, with each added leg, bettors can include upwards of 15 teams on a single wager. Each team selected must win or tie to cash a winning ticket. For example, if one game ends in a tie, a four-team parlay would be reduced to a three-team ticket.
Point spread, moneyline, and game total options can be used on parlays. Tickets can consist of multiple wagers on a single sport or selections from a variety of sports. For example, on Super Bowl Sunday bettors can build a parlay ticket with the NFL title game and add bets from the NBA and NHL. Original investments are returned on winning parlay wagers.
What are the Payouts on Parlay Tickets?
Calculating parlay payouts is a complicated process that requires figuring out implied odds. To simplify things, let's use two sides that are both priced with (-110) odds. Those lines convert to 1.91 decimal odds that are then multiplied together to reach 3.64 implied odds. Therefore, Pittsburgh (-110) plus Baltimore (-110) would return a $264 profit on a $100 wager.
Calculation: 1.91 X 1.91 = 3.64 implied odds X $100 bet = $264 profit.
During the 2020 NFC and AFC Championships games, bettors were asked to pay heavy juice to bet on the Chiefs and 49ers. Wagering on the favorites paid a $58.82 total return on two $100 bets. Bettors who tied Kansas City and San Francisco together earned a $134.95 profit on a $200 two-team parlay. There was added risk since both teams needed to win, but the reward was an extra $76.13 profit.
Parlay Betting Pros and Cons.
The biggest drawback with parlays is the added risk that comes from needing to select two or more sides. Everyone knows how difficult it can be to pick just one winner. Odds of cashing a single bet are basically 50/50 since one side will win and one side will lose. While the payout goes up, odds of winning get worse with each team added to a parlay ticket. Combos are "all or nothing" bets, as winning three games on a four-team team combo doesn't earn a return.
Beyond the large payouts, earned with a small investment, parlays have positives. When possible, it's wise to have a mix of early and late-night games on parlay tickets. If the early games win, an in-game wager on the late-night contest can set up a guaranteed profit. Also, some sportsbooks offer early cashouts to reduce their risk. The payout is lower, but bettors don't need to sweat the games still in play. Hedges and cashouts are personal decisions worth considering.

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Compare online dating reviews, stats, free trials, and more. (As seen on Our Experts Say: Accounting for 2% of . marriages, eharmony's
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An abstraction layer capable of managing online dating for me: Automatic swiping; Automatic messaging; Automatic date scheduling. Sweet.
As many as 42 million people from around the globe had their information stolen from an online dating network, including names, email
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If you're not familiar with the exciting world of online dating, sites andthe countless men of New York City setting their age filters to 35 or,
A science writer explores dating sites like , Tinder,Advisor, and evolutionary biologist Dr. Justin R. Garcia of the Kinsey Institute for
online dating in 2019. Plus, find out which online dating sites are most popular in your area.34, South Dakota, , 29, 24, 37, e Harmony.
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In online dating, sometimes A Little Nudge is all it takes Help withand more. Let us do the work so you can go on the dates!Scott R., 37, Ames, IA. "I'm one
Online dating (ODing) is the practice of searching for a romantic or sexual partner on the Internet. People who online date are known as online
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While teaching students how to 14 year old dating site microscopes in the lab that he directed at CSUN, Armitage engaged them in brief socratic dialogue about
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- 3 min - Uploaded by College HumorTinder, Bumble, Hinge, they're all different dating apps, but they share oneimportant trait
Most people here don't really online date.Toronto's Everett Delorme says he gets fed up with online dating but stays on the apps out of
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Great sex has been the widely favored reply since dating app Ok Cupid first started asking its users this question in 2003until now. For the
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photo credit: Jan H Andersen Shutterstock. At the age of 78, Samuel Little has become one of the most prolific serial killers of . history after
You can't change online dating. You don't have to quit online dating to meet men in real life.I am 53 and look about 45…really. I took great care of myself.
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You'd think after 14 years at this, I would have seen every love story imaginable. But then IThe process is probably a lot like online dating.
Image Source Flickr. A lot happened in the 90sthe internet came of age, Johnny Depp dated Winona Ryder, and grunge spread its flannelled influence
But in my current career as a dating coach, it's as if credit scores haveout from the online dating crowd and have a rewarding experience.
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The . Senate just voted 97-2 to pass the Allow States and Victims to Fight Online Sex Trafficking Act (FOSTA, . 1865), a bill that silences
Psychological characteristics of online-dating-service-users and its contribution to the explanation of different patterns of utilization. Journal of Business and
Seven in ten (70%) singletons who don't currently use online dating.
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Time to throw the dating rule book out the window.avoid online harassment, it's not only common for women to initiate a date, it's increasingly expected.When I was on Tinder, you'd match, chat for 45 minutes, and then
The first Sunday of the New Year just happens to be the busiest online dating day of the year. This year, that date is . It's when
The surprising effects of online dating.in relationship surveys that goes up to 2017, and found that 29 percent of heterosexual and 65 percent
It's been said before, but I'll say it again: Dating is a part-time job.Check out episodes 96 and 97 with relationship coach John Wineland to
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п»їBankroll Management: The Kelly Criterion in Sports Betting.
When we speak about the long term success of a betting system, a major component that needs to be thoroughly planned out and implemented is bankroll management. Not just any bankroll management either. Successful sports bettors have solid, unbending rules in place as part of their system. They implement these rules along with the rules for picking the sports plays they wish to wager on. They should not waiver from the plan. The Kelly Criterion in sports betting is just one of the bankroll management solutions that is currently being used by many handicappers and is definitely worth considering when devising your own money management strategy to follow along the way.
Previously, I have written an article on bankroll management. You can read that article here. In that article I discuss the flat betting approach, the variable betting approach and the Kelly Criterion approach. For this article, I am going to further focus on the sports betting Kelly Criterion approach, as it is a very solid approach in my opinion.
About John Larry Kelly, Jr. – The Gentleman Behind the Formula.
John Larry Kelly, Jr. was born in Corsicana, Texas on December 26, 1923. He devoted four years of his life in the US Navy as a pilot and served in the World War II. Kelly studied at the University of Texas at Austin and earned a PhD in Physics in 1953. After graduation, he worked in the oil industry. He would later change jobs and became employed with Bell Labs in Murray Hill, New Jersey. During this time he would devise a formula as part of an article published in an 1956 issue of the Bell System Technical Journal . That article was entitled “A New Interpretation of Information Rate”. That formula would become known as the Kelly Criterion. Many sports bettors and Wall Street investors including Warren Buffet are advocates of this theory in terms of bankroll management. John Kelly died of a stroke in 1965, but his criterion remains imperative to many.
Why Is Bankroll Management Important in Sports Betting?
So, why is bankroll management important in sports betting? Sounds like a silly question really. After all, bankroll management is imperative in pretty much everything we do. If your salary from work is $50,000 per year, we would obviously like to budget and make that $50,000 work best it can. After all, budgeting enables you to generate a solid spending plan for the money you’ve earned. Spend a little here. Save a little there.
In sports betting, the same can be said. As our bankroll grows, so does the amount we wager per play. If we are in the midst of a losing streak, we may wager less per play and have our bankroll sustain longer. Solid bankroll management is a key component to becoming a profitable sports handicapper. Without a solid bankroll management system in place and the unwavering ability/mindset to stick with that solid system, you could end up squandering bankroll despite sustaining a decent winning percentage.
If we wish to become an effective long-term sports handicapper (and that is the goal, correct?), bankroll management is just as fundamental as selecting winners. We never want to be reckless with bankroll. Never.
The Mathematics Behind the Kelly Criterion.
So, let’s get back to the Kelly Criterion in sports betting. The Kelly Criterion is used to control the size of any potential wager. The mathematical equation is as follows:
(bp-q) / b =f.
Where “b” is the multiple of our stake we can potentially win (decimal odds less 1). “P” is the probability of winning. Conversely, “q” is the probability of losing. And “f” is the fraction of our bankroll we wish to put at stake.
Let’s say we have a $1000 bankroll. Let’s further say your well thought out and back tested handicapping system wins 55% of the time. Let’s say the Los Angeles Dodgers are favored with a money line of -110. After dotting all your “I”s and crossing all your “t”s, your system has the dodgers winning.
In above equation:
b = 0.909 (-110 moneyline is 1.909 in decimal odds – 1 = 0.909)
(0.909 * .55 – .445) / .909 = .05495.
Because our bankroll is $1000 we would hence wager ($1000 * .05495) or $54.95.
Potential Issues with the Kelly Criterion in Sports Betting.
Utilizing the Kelly Criterion does not select the plays themselves. It only provides you with a bankroll management strategy. You will still need to heavily backtest your handicapping strategy and then use a bankroll management strategy (such as the Kelly Criterion) for a chance at sports betting success. Regarding the Kelly Criterion, there are still blank spots in the equation that need to be worked out accurately. Those variables are p (for the perceived probability of winning the wager) and q (for the perceived probability of losing the wager). Your handicapping strategy will help devise these figures.
Furthermore, many believe that the Kelly Criteria has the tendency to be overly aggressive. In the above example, the $54.95 dollars is over 5% of our total bankroll. Many handicappers will not wager more than 2% of their total bankroll on a single play. For this particular reason, many bettors will utilize a strategy known as a fractional Kelly. A fractional Kelly simply uses a fractional amount (usually ВЅ) of the stake devised by the Kelly Criterion.
Conclusion.
When used correctly, the Kelly Criterion can help find wagers that offer a distinct edge over the sportsbook you are wagering with and, conversely, find those bets that are not in your favor and should be avoided. Whether you decide to incorporate the Kelly Criterion, a fractional Kelly, a flat betting approach, or a variable betting strategy into your system, do it. Plain and simple. A bankroll management blueprint is vital and should be required for any decent handicapper in order to better manage the risk involved.
J. Jefferies.
The Paroli Betting System.
The Paroli betting system is most commonly used in casino games such as craps or roulette. …
How Can We Convert the Odds Ratio to Probability in Sports Handicapping?
Here is a fairly simple question with an equally simple and straightforward answer. How does one…
Bankroll Management: The Martingale Sports Betting System.
The Martingale sports betting system is a money management formula that has you double your wager…
Hello and welcome to Core Sports Betting. Since a I was a fairly small child, I have always been deep into sports and athletics. Whether playing on various teams, riding my bike to the neighborhood park for pick up games or even just watching sporting events on television, sports has always been a big part of my life. As I got older I started getting more involved with handicapping. This website’s mission is to share any and all proficient research I encounter on the topic as well as to offer some handicapping tips and tools. I hope you find this website helpful. Be well and be smart.

Bankroll Management: The Kelly Criterion in Sports Betting.
When we speak about the long term success of a betting system, a major component that needs to be thoroughly planned out and implemented is bankroll management. Not just any bankroll management either. Successful sports bettors have solid, unbending rules in place as part of their system. They implement these rules along with the rules for picking the sports plays they wish to wager on. They should not waiver from the plan. The Kelly Criterion in sports betting is just one of the bankroll management solutions that is currently being used by many handicappers and is definitely worth considering when devising your own money management strategy to follow along the way.
Previously, I have written an article on bankroll management. You can read that article here. In that article I discuss the flat betting approach, the variable betting approach and the Kelly Criterion approach. For this article, I am going to further focus on the sports betting Kelly Criterion approach, as it is a very solid approach in my opinion.
About John Larry Kelly, Jr. – The Gentleman Behind the Formula.
John Larry Kelly, Jr. was born in Corsicana, Texas on December 26, 1923. He devoted four years of his life in the US Navy as a pilot and served in the World War II. Kelly studied at the University of Texas at Austin and earned a PhD in Physics in 1953. After graduation, he worked in the oil industry. He would later change jobs and became employed with Bell Labs in Murray Hill, New Jersey. During this time he would devise a formula as part of an article published in an 1956 issue of the Bell System Technical Journal . That article was entitled “A New Interpretation of Information Rate”. That formula would become known as the Kelly Criterion. Many sports bettors and Wall Street investors including Warren Buffet are advocates of this theory in terms of bankroll management. John Kelly died of a stroke in 1965, but his criterion remains imperative to many.
Why Is Bankroll Management Important in Sports Betting?
So, why is bankroll management important in sports betting? Sounds like a silly question really. After all, bankroll management is imperative in pretty much everything we do. If your salary from work is $50,000 per year, we would obviously like to budget and make that $50,000 work best it can. After all, budgeting enables you to generate a solid spending plan for the money you’ve earned. Spend a little here. Save a little there.
In sports betting, the same can be said. As our bankroll grows, so does the amount we wager per play. If we are in the midst of a losing streak, we may wager less per play and have our bankroll sustain longer. Solid bankroll management is a key component to becoming a profitable sports handicapper. Without a solid bankroll management system in place and the unwavering ability/mindset to stick with that solid system, you could end up squandering bankroll despite sustaining a decent winning percentage.
If we wish to become an effective long-term sports handicapper (and that is the goal, correct?), bankroll management is just as fundamental as selecting winners. We never want to be reckless with bankroll. Never.
The Mathematics Behind the Kelly Criterion.
So, let’s get back to the Kelly Criterion in sports betting. The Kelly Criterion is used to control the size of any potential wager. The mathematical equation is as follows:
(bp-q) / b =f.
Where “b” is the multiple of our stake we can potentially win (decimal odds less 1). “P” is the probability of winning. Conversely, “q” is the probability of losing. And “f” is the fraction of our bankroll we wish to put at stake.
Let’s say we have a $1000 bankroll. Let’s further say your well thought out and back tested handicapping system wins 55% of the time. Let’s say the Los Angeles Dodgers are favored with a money line of -110. After dotting all your “I”s and crossing all your “t”s, your system has the dodgers winning.
In above equation:
b = 0.909 (-110 moneyline is 1.909 in decimal odds – 1 = 0.909)
(0.909 * .55 – .445) / .909 = .05495.
Because our bankroll is $1000 we would hence wager ($1000 * .05495) or $54.95.
Potential Issues with the Kelly Criterion in Sports Betting.
Utilizing the Kelly Criterion does not select the plays themselves. It only provides you with a bankroll management strategy. You will still need to heavily backtest your handicapping strategy and then use a bankroll management strategy (such as the Kelly Criterion) for a chance at sports betting success. Regarding the Kelly Criterion, there are still blank spots in the equation that need to be worked out accurately. Those variables are p (for the perceived probability of winning the wager) and q (for the perceived probability of losing the wager). Your handicapping strategy will help devise these figures.
Furthermore, many believe that the Kelly Criteria has the tendency to be overly aggressive. In the above example, the $54.95 dollars is over 5% of our total bankroll. Many handicappers will not wager more than 2% of their total bankroll on a single play. For this particular reason, many bettors will utilize a strategy known as a fractional Kelly. A fractional Kelly simply uses a fractional amount (usually ВЅ) of the stake devised by the Kelly Criterion.
Conclusion.
When used correctly, the Kelly Criterion can help find wagers that offer a distinct edge over the sportsbook you are wagering with and, conversely, find those bets that are not in your favor and should be avoided. Whether you decide to incorporate the Kelly Criterion, a fractional Kelly, a flat betting approach, or a variable betting strategy into your system, do it. Plain and simple. A bankroll management blueprint is vital and should be required for any decent handicapper in order to better manage the risk involved.
J. Jefferies.
The Paroli Betting System.
The Paroli betting system is most commonly used in casino games such as craps or roulette. …
How Can We Convert the Odds Ratio to Probability in Sports Handicapping?
Here is a fairly simple question with an equally simple and straightforward answer. How does one…
Bankroll Management: The Martingale Sports Betting System.
The Martingale sports betting system is a money management formula that has you double your wager…
Hello and welcome to Core Sports Betting. Since a I was a fairly small child, I have always been deep into sports and athletics. Whether playing on various teams, riding my bike to the neighborhood park for pick up games or even just watching sporting events on television, sports has always been a big part of my life. As I got older I started getting more involved with handicapping. This website’s mission is to share any and all proficient research I encounter on the topic as well as to offer some handicapping tips and tools. I hope you find this website helpful. Be well and be smart.

Explaining the Kelly Criterion for Sports Betting.
The Kelly Criterion was first introduced by J.L. Kelly who was a researcher for Bell Labs in 1956. The idea behind the theorem is to maximize wealth as the number of observations (or bets) goes to infinity. Though originally created for financial portfolios, it has been borrowed by the sports betting community for bet size management.
Making Sense of the Formula.
Formula for the Kelly Criterion.
Using the Formula in an Example.
Second, we find p and q . We stated that Joey thinks the Packers have a 55% chance to win. Thus, p = 0.55 and q = 0.45.
Third, we plug this all in to find y . y = ( 1 (0.55)-0.45 ) / 1 = 0.1 . Ok, so y =0.1, what does that mean? It means that Joey should bet 10% (or 0.1) of his bankroll on the Packers. With a bankroll of $5,000, this means that he should make a $500 bet.
I Hate Math But Like the System. Is There Another Way?
There are some great calculators online that will do all of the math for you. SBR has an awesome kelly criterion calculator that even gets into a variety of outcomes. My favorite, and probably easiest one to use is this one from OddsCoach. The latter one also takes into account another variable called the “Kelly Multiplier” which can be adjusted based upon the individual’s risk tolerance.
Final Thoughts on Kelly Criterion.
Honestly, we just aren’t huge fans. As mentioned earlier, there is just too much of a drawback in attempting to estimate variables p and q . If those can’t be estimated accurately, then your chances of going bust will happen much more quickly than expected. We think there are a few simple rules that would serve a bettor much better.
a. Play what you are comfortable with. b. Never play more than 10% of your bankroll on one contest. c. An average bet (or 1 unit) should be around 4%-5% of your bankroll. d. Never have more than 50% of your bankroll out at one time as this may be a sign that you are pushing too hard.

Bankroll Management: The Kelly Criterion in Sports Betting.
When we speak about the long term success of a betting system, a major component that needs to be thoroughly planned out and implemented is bankroll management. Not just any bankroll management either. Successful sports bettors have solid, unbending rules in place as part of their system. They implement these rules along with the rules for picking the sports plays they wish to wager on. They should not waiver from the plan. The Kelly Criterion in sports betting is just one of the bankroll management solutions that is currently being used by many handicappers and is definitely worth considering when devising your own money management strategy to follow along the way.
Previously, I have written an article on bankroll management. You can read that article here. In that article I discuss the flat betting approach, the variable betting approach and the Kelly Criterion approach. For this article, I am going to further focus on the sports betting Kelly Criterion approach, as it is a very solid approach in my opinion.
About John Larry Kelly, Jr. – The Gentleman Behind the Formula.
John Larry Kelly, Jr. was born in Corsicana, Texas on December 26, 1923. He devoted four years of his life in the US Navy as a pilot and served in the World War II. Kelly studied at the University of Texas at Austin and earned a PhD in Physics in 1953. After graduation, he worked in the oil industry. He would later change jobs and became employed with Bell Labs in Murray Hill, New Jersey. During this time he would devise a formula as part of an article published in an 1956 issue of the Bell System Technical Journal . That article was entitled “A New Interpretation of Information Rate”. That formula would become known as the Kelly Criterion. Many sports bettors and Wall Street investors including Warren Buffet are advocates of this theory in terms of bankroll management. John Kelly died of a stroke in 1965, but his criterion remains imperative to many.
Why Is Bankroll Management Important in Sports Betting?
So, why is bankroll management important in sports betting? Sounds like a silly question really. After all, bankroll management is imperative in pretty much everything we do. If your salary from work is $50,000 per year, we would obviously like to budget and make that $50,000 work best it can. After all, budgeting enables you to generate a solid spending plan for the money you’ve earned. Spend a little here. Save a little there.
In sports betting, the same can be said. As our bankroll grows, so does the amount we wager per play. If we are in the midst of a losing streak, we may wager less per play and have our bankroll sustain longer. Solid bankroll management is a key component to becoming a profitable sports handicapper. Without a solid bankroll management system in place and the unwavering ability/mindset to stick with that solid system, you could end up squandering bankroll despite sustaining a decent winning percentage.
If we wish to become an effective long-term sports handicapper (and that is the goal, correct?), bankroll management is just as fundamental as selecting winners. We never want to be reckless with bankroll. Never.
The Mathematics Behind the Kelly Criterion.
So, let’s get back to the Kelly Criterion in sports betting. The Kelly Criterion is used to control the size of any potential wager. The mathematical equation is as follows:
(bp-q) / b =f.
Where “b” is the multiple of our stake we can potentially win (decimal odds less 1). “P” is the probability of winning. Conversely, “q” is the probability of losing. And “f” is the fraction of our bankroll we wish to put at stake.
Let’s say we have a $1000 bankroll. Let’s further say your well thought out and back tested handicapping system wins 55% of the time. Let’s say the Los Angeles Dodgers are favored with a money line of -110. After dotting all your “I”s and crossing all your “t”s, your system has the dodgers winning.
In above equation:
b = 0.909 (-110 moneyline is 1.909 in decimal odds – 1 = 0.909)
(0.909 * .55 – .445) / .909 = .05495.
Because our bankroll is $1000 we would hence wager ($1000 * .05495) or $54.95.
Potential Issues with the Kelly Criterion in Sports Betting.
Utilizing the Kelly Criterion does not select the plays themselves. It only provides you with a bankroll management strategy. You will still need to heavily backtest your handicapping strategy and then use a bankroll management strategy (such as the Kelly Criterion) for a chance at sports betting success. Regarding the Kelly Criterion, there are still blank spots in the equation that need to be worked out accurately. Those variables are p (for the perceived probability of winning the wager) and q (for the perceived probability of losing the wager). Your handicapping strategy will help devise these figures.
Furthermore, many believe that the Kelly Criteria has the tendency to be overly aggressive. In the above example, the $54.95 dollars is over 5% of our total bankroll. Many handicappers will not wager more than 2% of their total bankroll on a single play. For this particular reason, many bettors will utilize a strategy known as a fractional Kelly. A fractional Kelly simply uses a fractional amount (usually ВЅ) of the stake devised by the Kelly Criterion.
Conclusion.
When used correctly, the Kelly Criterion can help find wagers that offer a distinct edge over the sportsbook you are wagering with and, conversely, find those bets that are not in your favor and should be avoided. Whether you decide to incorporate the Kelly Criterion, a fractional Kelly, a flat betting approach, or a variable betting strategy into your system, do it. Plain and simple. A bankroll management blueprint is vital and should be required for any decent handicapper in order to better manage the risk involved.
J. Jefferies.
The Paroli Betting System.
The Paroli betting system is most commonly used in casino games such as craps or roulette. …
How Can We Convert the Odds Ratio to Probability in Sports Handicapping?
Here is a fairly simple question with an equally simple and straightforward answer. How does one…
Bankroll Management: The Martingale Sports Betting System.
The Martingale sports betting system is a money management formula that has you double your wager…
Hello and welcome to Core Sports Betting. Since a I was a fairly small child, I have always been deep into sports and athletics. Whether playing on various teams, riding my bike to the neighborhood park for pick up games or even just watching sporting events on television, sports has always been a big part of my life. As I got older I started getting more involved with handicapping. This website’s mission is to share any and all proficient research I encounter on the topic as well as to offer some handicapping tips and tools. I hope you find this website helpful. Be well and be smart.

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The first Sunday of the New Year just happens to be the busiest online dating day of the year. This year, that date is . It's when
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Seven in ten (70%) singletons who don't currently use online dating.
Tinder alone produces more than 12 million matches a day, and if you're a Online dating takes effort, and effort equals time, he continued.
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Dating is a stage of romantic relationships in humans whereby two people meet socially with Online dating patterns suggest that men are more likely to initiate online exchanges (overThat survey questioned 3,300 adults ages 18 to 59.
Avoid these online dating mistakes so that you attract the best men. Have you wondered why so many guys you meet through online dating are
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Nomura Instinet says the online-dating sector could be worth 12and the latest estimate sees the market growing to 12 billion by 2020.
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An online dating scam is spreading across the country, bilking victims out of tens of thousands of dollars.
I am also 36 years old and have been single for 10 years. I write in an I've been actively dating, online and in real life, for actually a decade.
The ease of app and online dating has allowed ghosting to take new form. Chelsea, a 25-year-old Manhattanite who has been both a ghost
Officials: Inmates Ran 560K Online Dating Extortion Scheme. Five inmates in the Carolinas extorted more Associated Press. Published .
When it comes to online dating, black men and women are at a significant disadvantage when compared to their white counterparts, according
A Web-based listing of 78rpm records, in numerical order by record company.
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Finkel, E. J., Eastwick, P. W., Karney, B. R., Reis, H. T.,Sprecher, S (2012) Online dating: A critical analysis from the perspective of psychological science.
Dinner and a movie? A poetry slam night? Help with moving furniture? These are terrible first date ideas. Read (and avod) all 19 of these
199 first date and, 158-59 as roadblock to successful online dating, 52-53 Running, 211 , 149 Safe sex, 182 Safety issues, 5, 148-49 address
Online dating can be stressful, time-consuming, and downright awful.That chat room expires after eight days, regardless of whether you've
Jenny, 41, Brentwood Mariya, 40, BrooklynAaron, 35, Los AngelesHugo, 31, Los AngelesVerified profiles get special badge and priority on our dating site.To sum up: if you are looking for dating, love, marriage or friendship, you
Some cities might encourage dating by offering plentiful nightlife options and daytime attractions. But goingto number of online dating opportunities to nightlife options per capita.48, Virginia Beach, VA, , 58, 30, 114.
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So, it's no surprise that online dating has trickled down to teens.so a 13-year-old sees users 13 to 16, and a 16-year-old sees users 16 to 19.
Why one 30-something exclusively dates sexagenarians.Gary, 68, an accomplished businessman who lives in San Francisco, vacations in
Pages 42-49Published online: Abstract. We evaluate the ability of formal rules to establish . business cycle turning point dates in real time.
At what point in the completely nightmarish process of online dating doesseen ads for a mysterious paid version of the very same service.
By Rebecca Jenningsrebexxxxa , 7:00am EDTAt what point in the completely nightmarish process of online dating does one
As a dating coach for single women over 40, one of the firstyou are not geographically undesirable (hello online dating, Face Time, and airplanes).Actually a woman over 35 is probably more mature and takes better
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It's Hard to Deal with the Amount of Options Online Dating Has Brought. Illustration for article titled What I39;ve Learned Returning to the
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Meeting on the set of Green Lantern early in 2010 when Lively was just 22 years old and Reynolds was 33, the two started dating in 2011 and
For each reviewed online dating profile, a feature set wasmarginal returns was identified to occur around 80 profiles, at which the model
At 67, I'm having the best sex ever, and it's with a 63-year-old woman.Ask any woman over 50 who dates online about the quality of
What people get up to when they're dating online and what are the potential Just 27% of online daters use a security solution to protect their device and 16%
The Continuing Adventures of Karma's On Line Dating (Entry 42): Why I'm Hard to Date 3. Dr Karma . dating. I am one of the clumsiest people in the
Main Findings. Embed on your website13, Washington, , 13, 35, 11Online-Dating Opportunities: Full Weight ( Points)
Jess De Stefano, a 28-year-old theater production manager who lives inShe said treating online dating transactionally is commoditizing the
Online dating provides us with an unprecedented opportunity to observethe overwhelming tendency is to seek out someone similar (15, 16).
I have tried a combination of online dating, speed dating, professional singles events, volunteering,I'm a 38 year old woman but I don't want kids never did.
The Grown Woman's Guide to Online Dating39 percent of Match users are in the 3752 age group, and 27 percent are between 53 and 72.
On Tinder, the dating app on which you swipe left or right to show interest, more than 44 million matches were made on "Dating Sunday" last
calls to the area of SW 34th and Harvey the evening of September 8th.been lured to a house on SW 34th through the gay dating app grindr.Explicit pics, extortion attempt, lead to word of warning for online dating world.
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